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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Everton

Tottenham vs Everton 1:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:0
Full-time
Everton
Everton
L D D L L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee M. Oliver
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.11 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.95 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.20 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.99 – 0.34
Δ +0.65
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 13.00 — +14.9% better than the market.

Tottenham hosts Everton in a clash where Everton's slightly higher quality and offensive edge contrast with Tottenham's home momentum and defensive solidity. Tottenham's recent form shows resilience with key wins, while Everton struggles for consistency. The home side's pressing and compact block could limit Everton's attacking threats, suggesting a tight contest.

  • Tottenham's home edge in defense may frustrate Everton's attack
  • Everton's better quality and offensive potential pose a challenge
  • Recent form favors Tottenham's momentum and confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 13.00 ✗ Lost
AI 9% Implied 8% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1
TOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EVE 31 Kinský 24 Spence 4 Danso 37 Ven 13 Udogie 30 Bentancur 6 Palhinha ⚽ 23 Porro 22 Gallagher 11 Tel 9 Richarlison 1 Pickford 15 O'Brien 6 Tarkowski 5 Keane 16 Mykolenko 37 Garner 42 Iroegbunam 34 Röhl 22 Dewsbury-Hall 10 Ndiaye 11 Barry
Subs used · TOT
73' M. Sarr ↑ · Tel ↓
73' Kolo Muani ↑ · Richarlison ↓
82' Maddison ↑ · Gallagher ↓
82' Gray ↑ · Bentancur ↓
90' Dragusin ↑ · Udogie ↓
Subs used · EVE
62' George ↑ · Rohl ↓
62' Armstrong ↑ · O'Brien ↓
84' Beto ↑ · Barry ↓
84' Coleman ↑ · Iroegbunam ↓
84' Alcaraz ↑ · Dewsbury-Hall ↓

Statistics

TOT 1 – 0 EVE
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.99
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.34
20
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
5
15
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
7
15
Fouls
18
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
13'
▮
J. O'Brien
Yellow Card
J. Palhinha
1–0
⚽
43'
Half-time · 1 – 0
62'
⇄
T. George ↓ · M. Rohl ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
H. Armstrong ↓ · J. O'Brien ↑
Substitution 2
P. M. Sarr ↓ · M. Tel ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
73'
R. Kolo Muani ↓ · Richarlison ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
P. M. Sarr
Yellow Card
▮
80'
J. Maddison ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
A. Gray ↓ · R. Bentancur ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
84'
⇄
Beto ↓ · T. Barry ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⇄
S. Coleman ↓ · T. Iroegbunam ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
C. Alcaraz ↓ · K. Dewsbury-Hall ↑
Substitution 5
J. Palhinha
Yellow Card
▮
87'
89'
▮
J. Tarkowski
Yellow Card
R. Dragusin ↓ · D. Udogie ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Tottenham beat Everton 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.99 to 0.34. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Palhinha (43').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.55 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.11 1.91 54% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.95 1.88 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 2.02 49% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.71 1.75 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.84 1.91 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.95 1.88 43% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Away Win 4.11 4.10 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 3.70 28% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 1.35 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.98 3.09 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 1.23 67% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 3.10 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 10.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.47 1.40 43% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.03 91% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.86 3.55 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 1.27 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.55u −9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
TOT – EVE @ 13.00
+14.9%
Edge
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