Home Win
51.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away Win
21.7%
| Best Bet: | Home Win |
| Odds: | 2.3 |
| Estimated Probability: | 51.42% |
| Implied Probability: | 43.48% |
| Expected Value: | 1.183 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Napoli holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum despite mixed recent results. Their offensive strength faces a tough Atalanta defense, suggesting a tactical battle with Napoli likely pressing higher. The home side's slightly better form and compact defensive setup could limit Atalanta’s chances, pointing to a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities.
- Napoli’s home edge supports a disciplined approach.
- Atalanta’s defense may stifle Napoli’s attack.
- Recent form hints at a balanced but cautious tempo.
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Napoli | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Shots on Target | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 5.7 |
| Possession (%) | 60.5 | 56.3 |
| Efficiency index | 97.12 | 100.09 |
| Adjusted index | 107.18 | 101.67 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


