Home Win
51.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away Win
21.7%

Best Bet: Home Win
Odds: 2.3
Estimated Probability: 51.42%
Implied Probability: 43.48%
Expected Value: 1.183
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

Napoli holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum despite mixed recent results. Their offensive strength faces a tough Atalanta defense, suggesting a tactical battle with Napoli likely pressing higher. The home side's slightly better form and compact defensive setup could limit Atalanta’s chances, pointing to a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities.

  • Napoli’s home edge supports a disciplined approach.
  • Atalanta’s defense may stifle Napoli’s attack.
  • Recent form hints at a balanced but cautious tempo.

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Napoli Atalanta
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.35
Shots on Target 5.4 3.9
Corners 6.3 5.7
Possession (%) 60.5 56.3
Efficiency index 97.12 100.09
Adjusted index 107.18 101.67
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.