Home Win
13.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away Win
61.2%

Best Bet: Away Win
Odds: 1.82
Estimated Probability: 61.24%
Implied Probability: 54.95%
Expected Value: 1.115
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive threat challenges Getafe's defense, which has struggled to contain high-caliber attacks. Meanwhile, Getafe's home momentum is limited by a patchy run and a defensive setup that may be tested by Atletico's pressing and pace.

  • Atletico's superior quality and form create a pressing edge.
  • Getafe's defense faces a tough test against a potent attack.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring Atletico's tactical discipline.

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Getafe Atletico Madrid
Goals Scored 1 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.77
Shots on Target 2.73 5.55
Corners 5 6.27
Possession (%) 40.45 53.18
Efficiency index 116.25 104.58
Adjusted index 82.19 133.89
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.