Home Win
13.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away Win
61.2%
| Best Bet: | Away Win |
| Odds: | 1.82 |
| Estimated Probability: | 61.24% |
| Implied Probability: | 54.95% |
| Expected Value: | 1.115 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Atletico Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their offensive threat challenges Getafe's defense, which has struggled to contain high-caliber attacks. Meanwhile, Getafe's home momentum is limited by a patchy run and a defensive setup that may be tested by Atletico's pressing and pace.
- Atletico's superior quality and form create a pressing edge.
- Getafe's defense faces a tough test against a potent attack.
- Moderate pace expected, favoring Atletico's tactical discipline.
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Getafe | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.73 | 1.77 |
| Shots on Target | 2.73 | 5.55 |
| Corners | 5 | 6.27 |
| Possession (%) | 40.45 | 53.18 |
| Efficiency index | 116.25 | 104.58 |
| Adjusted index | 82.19 | 133.89 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


