Home Win
71.7%
Draw
18.5%
Away Win
9.8%
| Best Bet: | Over 3.5 |
| Odds: | 2.38 |
| Estimated Probability: | 41.95% |
| Implied Probability: | 42.02% |
| Expected Value: | 0.998 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Barcelona enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Athletic's leaky defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Athletic struggles to maintain consistency on the road. The home side's pressing and creativity should exploit Athletic's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a high chance of goals. Expect Barcelona to control tempo and capitalize on set-piece opportunities.
- Home attacking superiority vs away defensive frailties
- Better recent form and home confidence
- Likely open game with goal-scoring chances
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Barcelona | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 2.67 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.14 | 1.31 |
| Shots on Target | 8.08 | 4.27 |
| Corners | 6.83 | 6 |
| Possession (%) | 67.92 | 50.55 |
| Efficiency index | 110.36 | 91.09 |
| Adjusted index | 153 | 93.57 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


