Home Win
80%
Draw
12%
Away Win
8%
| Best Bet: | AH Home -2 |
| Odds: | 2.1 |
| Estimated Probability: | 48% |
| Implied Probability: | 46.7% |
| Expected Value: | 1.1 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction
PSG look the safer pick at home: they control games with the ball, create sustained pressure, and usually find multiple ways to break teams down. Monaco can still threaten in transition and they have enough quality to score, but they tend to give up too many high-quality chances when pinned back. The most likely outcome is a PSG win, with goals on the menu and Monaco needing a near-perfect defensive performance to take something.
PSG look the safer pick at home: they control games with the ball, create sustained pressure, and usually find multiple ways to break teams down. Monaco can still threaten in transition and they have enough quality to score, but they tend to give up too many high-quality chances when pinned back. The most likely outcome is a PSG win, with goals on the menu and Monaco needing a near-perfect defensive performance to take something.
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Paris Saint Germain | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| Shots on Target | 6.68 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 6.09 | 4.95 |
| Possession (%) | 68.27 | 52.9 |
| Efficiency index | 106.93 | 108.92 |
| Adjusted index | 144.5 | 107.85 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


