Home Win
58%
Draw
24.6%
Away Win
17.4%
| Best Bet: | Home Win |
| Odds: | 1.97 |
| Estimated Probability: | 58.02% |
| Implied Probability: | 50.76% |
| Expected Value: | 1.143 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Toulouse arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, showing signs of home momentum. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Nice's struggles, suggesting Toulouse can control the game tempo. Expect a compact block from Toulouse with effective set-piece threats, while Nice's attack faces a tough test.
- Home advantage with a pressing edge
- Toulouse's defense likely to stifle Nice's offense
- Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Toulouse | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Shots on Target | 3.94 | 4.06 |
| Corners | 4.44 | 4.94 |
| Possession (%) | 40 | 47.35 |
| Efficiency index | 104.18 | 96.12 |
| Adjusted index | 107.96 | 82.86 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


