Home Win
58%
Draw
24.6%
Away Win
17.4%

Best Bet: Home Win
Odds: 1.97
Estimated Probability: 58.02%
Implied Probability: 50.76%
Expected Value: 1.143
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

Toulouse arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, showing signs of home momentum. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Nice's struggles, suggesting Toulouse can control the game tempo. Expect a compact block from Toulouse with effective set-piece threats, while Nice's attack faces a tough test.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Toulouse's defense likely to stifle Nice's offense
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Toulouse Nice
Goals Scored 1.5 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.21
Shots on Target 3.94 4.06
Corners 4.44 4.94
Possession (%) 40 47.35
Efficiency index 104.18 96.12
Adjusted index 107.96 82.86
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.