Home Win
39.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away Win
36.1%
| Best Bet: | Over 2.5 |
| Odds: | 1.71 |
| Estimated Probability: | 65.14% |
| Implied Probability: | 58.48% |
| Expected Value: | 1.114 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Lens shows strong home momentum with a solid recent run and a pressing edge in attack against Strasbourg's defense. Despite Strasbourg's higher overall strength, Lens' home form and sharper offensive-defensive matchup suggest a competitive clash. The pace hints at an open game with a good chance for goals, supported by both sides' attacking capabilities.
- Lens' home form is notably better, offering confidence in their attacking rhythm.
- Strasbourg's defense may struggle against Lens' offensive pressure.
- The expected tempo favors a lively match with scoring opportunities.
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Lens | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| Shots on Target | 4.4 | 4.83 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 3.33 |
| Possession (%) | 46.7 | 50.5 |
| Efficiency index | 94.44 | 105.1 |
| Adjusted index | 109.53 | 134.24 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


