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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Valencia — Girona

Match Valencia vs Girona April 25, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia Referee Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.11
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.46 – 1.51
Δ −0.05
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Valencia holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a home atmosphere at Mestalla, where their defensive solidity stands out. Girona’s recent form shows resilience, but Valencia’s sharper attack against Girona’s less robust defense suggests home momentum could prevail. The balanced odds on goals hint at a moderately paced game with potential for a tight scoreline.

  • Valencia’s defensive compactness vs Girona’s attack
  • Home form slightly better than away
  • Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VAL 4-4-2 · GIR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · VAL
65' Ugrinic ↑ · Guerra
65' Lopez ↑ · Beltran
71' Nunez ↑ · Saravia
71' Duro ↑ · Sadiq
85' Almeida ↑ · Ramazani
Subs used · GIR
62' Gil ↑ · Echeverri
62' Frances ↑ · Moreno
62' Roca ↑ · Lemar
69' Stuani ↑ · Ounahi
69' Rincon ↑ · Blind

📊 Statistics

VAL 21 GIR
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.51
12
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
3
22
Fouls
8
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
Renzo Saravia
Yellow Card
38'
41'
Alex Moreno
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
L. Ramazani
Assist · J. Guerra · 1–0
50'
U. Sadiq
Assist · J. Gaya · 2–0
59'
62'
B. Gil ↓ · C. Echeverri ↑
Substitution 1
62'
A. Frances ↓ · A. Moreno ↑
Substitution 2
62'
J. Roca ↓ · T. Lemar ↑
Substitution 3
63'
J. Roca
Assist · A. Frances · 2–1
F. Ugrinic ↓ · J. Guerra ↑
Substitution 1
65'
D. Lopez ↓ · L. Beltran ↑
Substitution 2
65'
69'
C. Stuani ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑
Substitution 4
69'
H. Rincon ↓ · D. Blind ↑
Substitution 5
U. Nunez ↓ · Renzo Saravia ↑
Substitution 3
71'
H. Duro ↓ · U. Sadiq ↑
Substitution 4
71'
A. Almeida ↓ · L. Ramazani ↑
Substitution 5
85'
90+2'
Cristhian Stuani
Yellow Card
Guido Rodríguez
Yellow Card
90+9'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.11 54% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.97 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.97 48% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.73 52% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.81 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.66 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.31 79% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.50 54% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 73% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.78 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.64u −27% ROI