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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo

Match Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo January 25, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 17:30
3:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 59% · book 1.87
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.04
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.84
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.61 – 1.22
Δ +0.39
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad hosts Celta Vigo in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall squad and defensive solidity. However, Sociedad's home form and defensive resilience could keep the game tight. The attacking battle is balanced, but Sociedad's pressing and set-piece threat might unlock chances against Celta's compact block. Expect a moderately paced game with both sides cautious yet probing for openings.

  • Home defensive discipline vs away attacking efficiency
  • Recent form favors Celta but Sociedad's home momentum is notable
  • Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RSO 4-4-2 · CEL 3-4-3
Subs used · RSO
46' Zubeldia ↑ · Barrenetxea
46' Odriozola ↑ · Turrientes
70' Marin ↑ · Guedes
81' Mendez ↑ · Sucic
86' Oskarsson ↑ · Oyarzabal
Subs used · CEL
46' Mingueza ↑ · Fernandez
56' Iglesias ↑ · Duran
56' Aspas ↑ · Moriba
76' Roman ↑ · Sotelo
76' Swedberg ↑ · Carreira

📊 Statistics

RSO 31 CEL
36%
Possession (%)
64%
1.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.22
10
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 3 – 1
Luka Sučić
Yellow Card
16'
M. Oyarzabal
Assist · B. Turrientes · 1–0
17'
Half-time · 1 – 0
I. Zubeldia ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Odriozola ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
O. Mingueza ↓ · M. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 1
Duje Ćaleta-Car
Red Card
45+2'
45+3'
Bryan Zaragoza
Yellow Card
56'
B. Iglesias ↓ · P. Duran ↑
Substitution 2
56'
I. Aspas ↓ · I. Moriba ↑
Substitution 3
P. Marin ↓ · G. Guedes ↑
Substitution 3
70'
72'
B. Iglesias
1–1
M. Oyarzabal
Assist · J. Gorrotxategi · 2–1
75'
76'
M. Roman ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑
Substitution 4
76'
W. Swedberg ↓ · S. Carreira ↑
Substitution 5
B. Mendez ↓ · L. Sucic ↑
Substitution 4
81'
O. Oskarsson ↓ · M. Oyarzabal ↑
Substitution 5
86'
B. Mendez (P)
Penalty · 3–1
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.87 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.04 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.84 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.11 46% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 51% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Home Win 2.07 41% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Away Win 4.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.86 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 67% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 72% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.45 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 25% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Draw 3.56 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.48 41% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.93u −11% ROI