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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Alaves — Celta Vigo

Match Alaves vs Celta Vigo November 22, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W W L D W Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.66 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.42 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.68 – 1.43
Δ −0.75
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alaves show solid home momentum with a strong defensive setup, but Celta Vigo bring a clear quality edge and recent winning form that could challenge the hosts. The home side's defensive discipline may keep the game tight, yet Celta's sharper attack and better overall strength hint at a competitive clash. Expect a moderately paced match with tactical battles in midfield and cautious probing from both sides.

  • Alaves' home defensive resilience
  • Celta's superior offensive quality and form
  • Balanced tempo favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ALA 4-4-2 · CEL 3-4-3
ALA · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · CEL 1 Sivera 17 Otto 14 Tenaglia 5 Pacheco 3 Lekhedim 7 Vicente 8 Blanco 4 Suárez 10 Aleñá 11 Martínez 15 Boyé 13 Radu 32 Rodríguez 2 Starfelt 20 Alonso 17 Rueda 8 Beltrán 6 Moriba 5 Carreira 10 Aspas ⚽ 18 Durán 15 Zaragoza
Subs used · ALA
61' Rebbach ↑ · Alena ↓
62' Ibanez ↑ · Vicente ↓
81' Guevara ↑ · Otto ↓
81' Diaz ↑ · Suarez ↓
90' Guridi ↑ · Martinez ↓
Subs used · CEL
66' Mingueza ↑ · Rueda ↓
73' Iglesias ↑ · Duran ↓
73' Aidoo ↑ · Starfelt ↓
73' Roman ↑ · Aspas ↓
83' El Abdellaoui ↑ · Zaragoza ↓

📊 Statistics

ALA 0 – 1 CEL
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.43
5
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
15
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Jonny Otto
Yellow Card
▮
5'
17'
▮
Javi Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
51'
▮
Javier Rueda
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
I. Aspas (P)
Penalty · 0–1
A. Rebbach ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
P. Ibanez ↓ · C. Vicente ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
66'
⇄
O. Mingueza ↓ · J. Rueda ↑
Substitution 1
Jon Pacheco
Yellow Card
▮
68'
73'
⇄
B. Iglesias ↓ · P. Duran ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
J. Aidoo ↓ · C. Starfelt ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
M. Roman ↓ · I. Aspas ↑
Substitution 4
A. Guevara ↓ · Jonny Otto ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
81'
M. Diaz ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
83'
⇄
J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑
Substitution 5
J. Guridi ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.91 — 53% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.66 — 60% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.42 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.14 — 41% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Home Win 2.64 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.84 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.55 — 70% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 3.10 — 41% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.42 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 — 33% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.45 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.18 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.23 — 80% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.70 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.31u −8% ROI