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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Barcelona — Girona

Match Barcelona vs Girona October 18, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Barcelona
Barcelona
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.31 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.20 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 27% · book 4.10 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.86 – 1.84
Δ +0.02
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Barcelona hosts Girona in a match where the home side is heavily favored. Despite Barcelona's strong overall strength and home advantage, Girona's form trend suggests they could pose a challenge. The odds for a Barcelona win are 1.21, reflecting an 81.98% estimated probability. However, the draw at 8.82 odds with a 13.4% estimated probability presents a potential value. The 'BTTS No' market at 2.2 odds is also intriguing, given its 50.31% estimated probability.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAR 4-2-3-1 · GIR 4-4-2
BAR · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · GIR 25 Szczęsny 23 Koundé 5 Cubarsí 24 García 3 Balde 17 Casadó 8 Pedri ⚽ 10 Yamal 21 Jong 14 Rashford 29 Fernández 13 Gazzaniga 2 Rincón 12 Reis 17 Blind 24 Moreno 21 Gil 4 Martínez 20 Witsel ⚽ 3 Roca 8 Portu 19 Vanat
Subs used · BAR
46' Lopez ↑ · Fernandez ↓
63' Christensen ↑ · Pedri ↓
64' Bardghji ↑ · Yamal ↓
76' Martin ↑ · Balde ↓
82' Araujo ↑ · Casado ↓
Subs used · GIR
63' Tsygankov ↑ · Portu ↓
63' E. Solis Romero ↑ · Gil ↓
68' Stuani ↑ · Vanat ↓
68' Asprilla ↑ · Roca ↓
79' Kourouma ↑ · Martinez ↓

📊 Statistics

BAR 2 – 1 GIR
68%
Possession (%)
32%
1.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.84
27
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
4
12
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
10
11
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
7
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 1
Pedri
Assist · Lamine Yamal · 1–0
⚽
13'
20'
⚽
A. Witsel
Assist · A. Martinez · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
F. Lopez ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
A. Christensen ↓ · Pedri ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
63'
⇄
V. Tsygankov ↓ · Portu ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
J. E. Solis Romero ↓ · B. Gil ↑
Substitution 2
R. Bardghji ↓ · Lamine Yamal ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
68'
⇄
C. Stuani ↓ · V. Vanat ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
Y. Asprilla ↓ · J. Roca ↑
Substitution 4
75'
▮
Cristhian Stuani
Yellow Card
G. Martin ↓ · A. Balde ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
79'
⇄
L. Kourouma ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
R. Araujo ↓ · M. Casado ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
84'
▮
Álex Moreno
Yellow Card
R. Araujo
Assist · F. de Jong · 2–1
⚽
90'
Frenkie de Jong
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Ronald Araújo
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.31 — 48% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 4.10 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 8.82 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.68 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 — 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.21 — 82% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Away Win 16.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 50% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 34.00 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 1.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.26 — 73% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.72 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.05 — 82% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
AH Away 0 10.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.26u −37% ROI