P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart March 7, 2026

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L D D W D Away · last 5
Mewa Arena · Mainz Referee Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.22
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.66
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.55
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.82 – 0.98
Δ +1.84
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

VfB Stuttgart enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge Mainz’s compact defense effectively. Despite Mainz’s home momentum and recent resilience, Stuttgart’s sharper attack and better form hint at a competitive, possibly high-tempo game at Mewa Arena. Expect tactical battles around midfield with Stuttgart likely pressing higher to exploit Mainz’s defensive gaps.

  • Stuttgart’s offensive edge against Mainz’s defense
  • Home side’s recent solid form and set-piece threat
  • Potential for open play given odds favoring over 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MAI 3-5-2 · STU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MAI
74' Silas ↑ · Becker
85' Weiper ↑ · Widmer
90+2' Sieb ↑ · Jae-Sung
90+2' Boving ↑ · Nebel
90+2' Veratschnig ↑ · da Costa
Subs used · STU
65' Nartey ↑ · Assignon
75' Tomas ↑ · Fuhrich
75' Jeltsch ↑ · Jaquez
84' Hendriks ↑ · Mittelstadt
84' Arevalo ↑ · Undav

📊 Statistics

MAI 22 STU
38%
Possession (%)
62%
2.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
12
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
Lee Jae-Sung
Assist · D. da Costa · 1–0
39'
Half-time · 1 – 0
65'
N. Nartey ↓ · L. Assignon ↑
Substitution 1
Silas ↓ · S. Becker ↑
Substitution 1
74'
75'
T. Tomas ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑
Substitution 2
75'
F. Jeltsch ↓ · L. Jaquez ↑
Substitution 3
76'
E. Demirovic
Assist · D. Undav · 1–1
77'
D. Undav
Assist · T. Tomas · 1–2
82'
Tiago Tomás
Yellow Card
84'
R. Hendriks ↓ · M. Mittelstadt ↑
Substitution 4
84'
Jeremy Arevalo ↓ · D. Undav ↑
Substitution 5
N. Weiper ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 2
85'
D. da Costa
2–2
90'
A. Sieb ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 3
90+2'
W. Boving ↓ · P. Nebel ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
N. Veratschnig ↓ · D. da Costa ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
90+5'
Jeff Chabot
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.22 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 60% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 39% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
BTTS No 2.61 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.42 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.65 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.74 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.41 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.38 78% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.52 62% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.85 24% Cashed +2.85 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.30 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.06u −12% ROI