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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FC St. Pauli — VfB Stuttgart

Match FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart February 7, 2026

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L D D W D Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.88
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.06
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.98
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.77 – 0.88
Δ +0.89
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

VfB Stuttgart arrives at Millerntor-Stadion with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong momentum with recent wins contrasting St. Pauli's struggles. Stuttgart's offensive edge against St. Pauli's leaky defense suggests they can break through, while the home side's defensive frailties may be exposed. The match hints at a moderate tempo with balanced goal expectations, favoring Stuttgart's ability to control play and capitalize on chances.

  • Stuttgart's superior attacking threat vs St. Pauli's defense
  • Home side's recent poor form and defensive issues
  • Moderate pace likely, favoring structured attacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · STU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · PAU
90+1' Ritzka ↑ · Pyrka
90+1' Hara ↑ · Kaars
Subs used · STU
46' Leweling ↑ · El Khannouss
69' Assignon ↑ · Vagnoman
69' Bouanani ↑ · Fuhrich
85' Andres ↑ · Karazor
85' Arevalo ↑ · Demirovic

📊 Statistics

PAU 21 STU
32%
Possession (%)
68%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.88
15
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
10
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

12 · 2 – 1
M. Saliakas
Assist · A. Pyrka · 1–0
35'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
J. Leweling ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑
Substitution 1
D. Sinani (P)
Penalty · 2–0
55'
57'
Deniz Undav
Yellow Card
69'
L. Assignon ↓ · J. Vagnoman ↑
Substitution 2
69'
B. Bouanani ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Ermedin Demirović
Yellow Card
85'
C. Andres ↓ · A. Karazor ↑
Substitution 4
85'
Jeremy Arevalo ↓ · E. Demirovic ↑
Substitution 5
90'
J. Leweling
Assist · Jeremy Arevalo · 2–1
L. Ritzka ↓ · A. Pyrka ↑
Substitution 1
90+1'
T. Hara ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 2
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.88 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.98 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.96 50% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.81 51% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.03 40% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.40 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.25 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 72% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.80 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.81 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.52 16% Cashed +3.52 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.26 16% Cashed +2.26 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.30u +2% ROI