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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart January 10, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 17:30
1:4
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L D D W D Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.30 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.74 ✗
Total goals
5
1 · 4
xG (open play)
1.95 – 2.60
Δ −0.65
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear quality edge over VfB Stuttgart, boosted by a solid home momentum and a pressing edge in attack. Their offensive strength outmatches Stuttgart's defense, suggesting they can create key chances. Both teams show signs of scoring, but Leverkusen's compact block and home confidence could tilt the balance.

  • Home attacking threat vs away defensive resilience
  • Recent form favors Leverkusen's consistency
  • Moderate pace expected, supporting tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · STU 4-2-3-1
BAY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · STU 1 Flekken 4 Quansah 8 Andrich 44 Belocian 13 Arthur 24 García 6 Fernández 20 Grimaldo ⚽ 10 Tillman 23 Tella 11 Terrier 33 Nübel 4 Vagnoman 3 Hendriks 24 Chabot 7 Mittelstädt ⚽ 16 Karazor 6 Stiller 18 Leweling ⚽ 28 Nartey 10 Führich 26 Undav ⚽
Subs used · BAY
46' Bade ↑ · Belocian ↓
46' Poku ↑ · Tella ↓
66' Hofmann ↑ · Fernandez ↓
66' Sarco ↑ · Terrier ↓
82' Lucas ↑ · Grimaldo ↓
Subs used · STU
72' Jeltsch ↑ · Fuhrich ↓
79' Assignon ↑ · Vagnoman ↓
79' Arevalo ↑ · Leweling ↓
88' Andres ↑ · Nartey ↓
88' Demirovic ↑ · Undav ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 1 – 4 STU
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.60
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
11
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

21 · 1 – 4
7'
⚽
J. Leweling
Assist · D. Undav · 0–1
29'
⚽
M. Mittelstadt (P)
Penalty · 0–2
Mark Flekken
Yellow Card
▮
38'
38'
▮
Jamie Leweling
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
J. Leweling
Assist · D. Undav · 0–3
45'
⚽
D. Undav
Assist · C. Fuhrich · 0–4
Half-time · 0 – 4
L. Bade ↓ · J. Belocian ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
E. Poku ↓ · N. Tella ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
J. Hofmann ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
A. Sarco ↓ · M. Terrier ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
66'
A. Grimaldo (P)
Penalty · 1–4
⚽
66'
Loïc Badé
Yellow Card
▮
70'
72'
⇄
F. Jeltsch ↓ · C. Fuhrich ↑
Substitution 1
77'
▮
Finn Jeltsch
Yellow Card
Alejandro Grimaldo
Yellow Card
▮
78'
79'
⇄
L. Assignon ↓ · J. Vagnoman ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
Jeremy Arevalo ↓ · J. Leweling ↑
Substitution 3
Aleix García
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Lucas ↓ · A. Grimaldo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
88'
⇄
C. Andres ↓ · N. Nartey ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
E. Demirovic ↓ · D. Undav ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.00 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.30 — 45% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.74 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.79 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.67 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.92 — 43% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.80 — 20% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 — 66% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.47 — 65% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.49 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 — 85% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Draw 4.15 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.66 — 20% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.16u −7% ROI