This encounter features 1.FC Köln with a clear home advantage and a stronger overall profile compared to VfB Stuttgart, who show decent defensive resilience but less attacking threat. Köln’s recent form is solid, especially at home, while Stuttgart’s away results are mixed. The game is likely to be competitive but leans towards a home win given Köln’s ability to create better chances and capitalize on them. The model favors a match with goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals market, and both teams scoring is a realistic scenario given defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Double chance options provide a safer alternative with good value, especially on the home side. The Asian handicap markets also reflect the home team’s edge, with the zero handicap and -0.5 handicap on Köln offering attractive prospects.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
KOL 3-5-2 · STU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · KOL
63'
Huseinbašić ↑
· 
Maina ↓
Huseinbašić ↑
· Maina ↓
74'
Kainz ↑
· 
Jóhannesson ↓
Kainz ↑
· Jóhannesson ↓
85'
Waldschmidt ↑
· 
Schmied ↓
Waldschmidt ↑
· Schmied ↓
📊 Statistics
KOL 1 – 2 STU43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.85
14
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
10
8
Corner Kicks
8
4
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
⏱ Match events
17 · 1 – 2Jakub Kamiński
Assist · Ragnar Ache · 1–0
4'
28'
⚽
Ermedin Demirović (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
61'
⇄
Maximilian Mittelstädt ↓ · Ramon Hendriks ↑
Substitution 1
Said El Mala ↓ · Ragnar Ache ↑
Substitution 1
63'
Denis Huseinbašić ↓ · Linton Maina ↑
Substitution 2
63'
Joel Schmied
Yellow Card
67'
71'
⇄
Jamie Leweling ↓ · Chris Führich ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
Badredine Bouanani ↓ · Tiago Tomás ↑
Substitution 3
Kristoffer Lund ↓ · Jan Thielmann ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Florian Kainz ↓ · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson ↑
Substitution 4
74'
Tom Krauß
Yellow Card
76'
78'
▮
Luca Jaquez
Yellow Card
81'
⚽
Josha Vagnoman
Assist · Angelo Stiller · 1–2
Luca Waldschmidt ↓ · Joel Schmied ↑
Substitution 5
85'
86'
⇄
Ameen Al-Dakhil ↓ · Luca Jaquez ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
Nikolas Nartey ↓ · Bilal El Khannouss ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
▮
Badredine Bouanani
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 5 W · 5 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.50 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.62 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.66 | — | 66% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 2.20 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -0.5 | 2.86 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.22 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 2.95 | — | 39% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.94 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 2.38 | — | 35% | Cashed | +1.38 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.46 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.46 | Cashed |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 5 W · 5 L | −1.82u | −18% ROI |