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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Nice

Match Toulouse vs Nice January 17, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 18:00
5:1
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D D L D D Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Gael Angoula, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.97
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.01
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
1.65 – 1.82
Δ −0.17
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Toulouse arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, showing signs of home momentum. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Nice's struggles, suggesting Toulouse can control the game tempo. Expect a compact block from Toulouse with effective set-piece threats, while Nice's attack faces a tough test.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Toulouse's defense likely to stifle Nice's offense
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TOU 3-4-3 · NIC 4-3-3
Subs used · TOU
56' Casseres ↑ · Vossah
75' Vignolo ↑ · Hidalgo
82' Koumbassa ↑ · Nicolaisen
82' Sauer ↑ · Demba
82' Edjouma ↑ · Magri
Subs used · NIC
46' Gouveia ↑ · Ndombele
46' Cho ↑ · Jansson
67' Kevin ↑ · Pereira
70' Abdi ↑ · Bard
83' Vanhoutte ↑ · Wahi

📊 Statistics

TOU 51 NIC
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.82
22
Total Shots
15
10
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
5
17
Shots Inside Box
13
6
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
17
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 5 – 1
S. Hidalgo
Assist · A. Donnum · 1–0
7'
40'
Abdulay Juma Bah
Yellow Card
F. Magri
Assist · Y. Gboho · 2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
T. Gouveia ↓ · T. Ndombele ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Cho ↓ · I. Jansson ↑
Substitution 2
49'
E. Wahi
2–1
51'
Morgan Sanson
Yellow Card
S. Hidalgo
Assist · F. Magri · 3–1
55'
C. Casseres ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 1
56'
Santiago Hidalgo
Yellow Card
61'
67'
Kevin ↓ · E. Pereira ↑
Substitution 3
70'
A. Abdi ↓ · M. Bard ↑
Substitution 4
C. Casseres
4–1
74'
J. Vignolo ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 2
75'
J. Vignolo
5–1
80'
S. Koumbassa ↓ · R. Nicolaisen ↑
Substitution 3
82'
M. Sauer ↓ · P. Demba ↑
Substitution 4
82'
N. Edjouma ↓ · F. Magri ↑
Substitution 5
82'
83'
C. Vanhoutte ↓ · E. Wahi ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 5 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.97 58% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.95 49% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.78 52% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.94 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.44 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.28 83% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.80 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.74 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 28% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.97 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.20 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.97u −17% ROI