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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Athletic Club

Match Real Madrid vs Athletic Club May 23, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
4:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee J. Martinez
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.42 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.67 ✗
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
1.85 – 0.86
Δ +0.99
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid arrive with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Athletic's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Athletic struggles for consistency and faces a tough defensive test at the Bernabéu. Expect Real Madrid's compact block and set-piece threat to challenge Athletic's less potent attack.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Superior offensive vs defensive matchup
  • Real's recent form outshines Athletic's struggles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

REA 4-4-2 · BIL 4-2-3-1
REA · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · BIL 1 Courtois 2 Carvajal 17 Asencio 4 Alaba 18 Carreras 30 Mastantuono 45 Pitarch 8 Valverde 5 Bellingham ⚽ 16 García ⚽ 10 Mbappé ⚽ 27 Padilla 3 Vivian 5 Álvarez 4 Paredes 19 Boiro 16 Galarreta 18 Jauregizar 9 Williams 20 Gómez 23 Navarro 11 Guruzeta ⚽
Subs used · REA
70' Huijsen ↑ · Alaba ↓
74' Ceballos ↑ · Bellingham ↓
74' Guler ↑ · Garcia ↓
74' Diaz ↑ · Mastantuono ↓
84' Serrano ↑ · Carvajal ↓
Subs used · BIL
46' Gorosabel ↑ · Alvarez ↓
60' Lekue ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta ↓
60' Rego ↑ · Gomez ↓
74' Izeta ↑ · Guruzeta ↓
86' Vesga ↑ · Jauregizar ↓

📊 Statistics

REA 4 – 2 BIL
74%
Possession (%)
26%
1.85
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.86
13
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
1
7
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
20
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

18 · 4 – 2
T. Pitarch
Yellow Card
▮
3'
G. Garcia
Assist · D. Carvajal · 1–0
⚽
12'
J. Bellingham
Yellow Card
▮
20'
J. Bellingham
Assist · T. Pitarch · 2–0
⚽
41'
45+1'
⚽
G. Guruzeta
Assist · I. Williams · 2–1
Half-time · 2 – 1
46'
⇄
A. Gorosabel ↓ · Y. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 1
K. Mbappe
Assist · A. Carreras · 3–1
⚽
51'
60'
⇄
I. Lekue ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
A. Rego ↓ · U. Gomez ↑
Substitution 3
D. Huijsen ↓ · D. Alaba ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
D. Ceballos ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
A. Guler ↓ · G. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
B. Diaz ↓ · F. Mastantuono ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
74'
⇄
Izeta ↓ · G. Guruzeta ↑
Substitution 4
M. Serrano ↓ · D. Carvajal ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
86'
⇄
M. Vesga ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 5
B. Diaz
Assist · T. Pitarch · 4–1
⚽
90'
90+1'
⚽
Izeta
Assist · I. Williams · 4–2
Full-time · 4 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.42 2.30 42% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
BTTS No 2.30 2.21 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.67 1.65 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.63 2.53 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.66 1.63 57% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.74 2.66 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 1.50 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 1.14 88% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 1.47 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.20 1.18 69% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 5.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.00 4.63 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 1.13 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 0.5 21.00 16.95 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.55 5.92 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.60 4.52 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.40u −32% ROI