Home Win
23.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away Win
52.5%

Best Bet: Away Win
Odds: 2.18
Estimated Probability: 52.51%
Implied Probability: 45.87%
Expected Value: 1.145
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

St. Truiden enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to challenge KV Mechelen’s compact defense. Despite both sides struggling for form, the visitors’ offensive firepower and recent head-to-head success suggest they hold the upper hand.

  • St. Truiden’s attacking threat contrasts with Mechelen’s defensive resilience.
  • Home side’s recent poor form may limit momentum.
  • Expect a moderately paced game with chances for the away side.

Overall, St. Truiden’s quality and sharper attack could tip the balance in a tight encounter, though Mechelen’s home grit might keep it close.

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic KV Mechelen St. Truiden
Goals Scored 1.24 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.62
Shots on Target 3.38 4.15
Corners 4.35 5.5
Possession (%) 47.06 53.12
Efficiency index 111.43 99.33
Adjusted index 84.09 102.65
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.