Home Win
23.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away Win
52.5%
| Best Bet: | Away Win |
| Odds: | 2.18 |
| Estimated Probability: | 52.51% |
| Implied Probability: | 45.87% |
| Expected Value: | 1.145 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
St. Truiden enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to challenge KV Mechelen’s compact defense. Despite both sides struggling for form, the visitors’ offensive firepower and recent head-to-head success suggest they hold the upper hand.
- St. Truiden’s attacking threat contrasts with Mechelen’s defensive resilience.
- Home side’s recent poor form may limit momentum.
- Expect a moderately paced game with chances for the away side.
Overall, St. Truiden’s quality and sharper attack could tip the balance in a tight encounter, though Mechelen’s home grit might keep it close.
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | KV Mechelen | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| Shots on Target | 3.38 | 4.15 |
| Corners | 4.35 | 5.5 |
| Possession (%) | 47.06 | 53.12 |
| Efficiency index | 111.43 | 99.33 |
| Adjusted index | 84.09 | 102.65 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


