Home Win
16.8%
Draw
24.5%
Away Win
58.8%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 1.97 |
| Estimated Probability: | 59.69% |
| Implied Probability: | 50.76% |
| Expected Value: | 1.176 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Türkiye enters this qualifier with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, despite Kosovo's solid home form. The visitors' defensive resilience contrasts with Kosovo's vulnerability at the back, suggesting Türkiye can exploit spaces on the break. Both sides show strong recent momentum, but Türkiye's pressing and tactical discipline may tip the balance.
- Türkiye's superior overall strength and attacking threat
- Kosovo's home momentum but defensive challenges
- Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Kosovo | Türkiye |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Shots on Target | 3.57 | 4.86 |
| Corners | 2.86 | 6.57 |
| Possession (%) | 40.29 | 54.29 |
| Efficiency index | 93.32 | 120 |
| Adjusted index | 83.68 | 145.9 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


