Home Win
28.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away Win
44.9%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 1.82 |
| Estimated Probability: | 63.45% |
| Implied Probability: | 54.95% |
| Expected Value: | 1.155 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Wolfsberger AC enters Merkur-Arena with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, despite Grazer AK's home comfort. The visitors' sharper attack faces a resilient but vulnerable home defense, suggesting Wolfsberger's pressing and pace could unlock chances. However, both sides have shown defensive solidity, hinting at a tactical battle with limited goals.
- Wolfsberger's offensive edge against a less effective home defense
- Grazer AK's home momentum but recent mixed results
- Expectation of a cautious tempo favoring under 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Grazer AK | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Shots on Target | 3 | 3.53 |
| Corners | 3.36 | 3.76 |
| Possession (%) | 44.5 | 48.41 |
| Efficiency index | 89.5 | 113.5 |
| Adjusted index | 70.03 | 113.57 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.