Home Win
53.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away Win
22.6%
| Best Bet: | Home Win |
| Odds: | 2.16 |
| Estimated Probability: | 53.29% |
| Implied Probability: | 46.3% |
| Expected Value: | 1.151 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Lausanne holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum, showing resilience with recent wins and draws. Their attacking strength is well-matched against Lugano's defense, suggesting they can create meaningful chances. Meanwhile, Lugano's defensive solidity might keep the game tight, but their slightly lower offensive output and away challenges hint at a cautious approach.
- Home side's offensive edge vs away defense
- Balanced recent form with slight home momentum
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Lausanne | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.87 | 0.69 |
| Shots on Target | 5.23 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.08 | 3.64 |
| Possession (%) | 49.38 | 56.93 |
| Efficiency index | 91.76 | 89.53 |
| Adjusted index | 106.1 | 102.89 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


