Home Win
68.5%
Draw
21.8%
Away Win
9.7%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 2.01 |
| Estimated Probability: | 58.33% |
| Implied Probability: | 49.75% |
| Expected Value: | 1.172 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
PAOK arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong defensive setup and a notable quality edge over Aris Thessalonikis. Their recent form shows resilience, while Aris struggles to convert chances despite a decent defensive effort. The tactical matchup favors PAOK's pressing and compact block, likely limiting Aris' attacking threats.
- Home defensive solidity vs away offensive challenges
- PAOK's recent winning streak adds confidence
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | PAOK | Aris Thessalonikis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Shots on Target | 4.71 | 4.12 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.18 |
| Possession (%) | 61.64 | 51.76 |
| Efficiency index | 107.93 | 80 |
| Adjusted index | 121.6 | 75.69 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.