Home Win
68.5%
Draw
21.8%
Away Win
9.7%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 2.01 |
| Estimated Probability: | 58.33% |
| Implied Probability: | 49.75% |
| Expected Value: | 1.172 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
PAOK arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong defensive setup and a notable quality edge over Aris Thessalonikis. Their recent form shows resilience, while Aris struggles to convert chances despite a decent defensive effort. The tactical matchup favors PAOK's pressing and compact block, likely limiting Aris' attacking threats.
- Home defensive solidity vs away offensive challenges
- PAOK's recent winning streak adds confidence
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | PAOK | Aris Thessalonikis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0 | 0.06 |
| Shots on Target | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| Corners | 6 | 5.2 |
| Possession (%) | 62.7 | 51.1 |
| Efficiency index | 104.06 | 87.17 |
| Adjusted index | 128.97 | 81.46 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.