Home Win
56.5%
Draw
25.5%
Away Win
18%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 1.87 |
| Estimated Probability: | 58.85% |
| Implied Probability: | 53.48% |
| Expected Value: | 1.101 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Samsunspor Looks to Leverage Home Strength
Samsunspor holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a notable home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Their offensive capabilities face a less resilient Kayserispor defense, while recent form shows Samsunspor slightly ahead in momentum. Expect a compact home block with effective set-piece threats and a tactical pressing edge to limit Kayserispor’s chances.
- Home side’s defensive solidity versus away’s moderate attack
- Home momentum from recent results
- Potential for a controlled, moderately paced game
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Samsunspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Shots on Target | 3.6 | 3.71 |
| Corners | 5.96 | 4.93 |
| Possession (%) | 53.88 | 47.04 |
| Efficiency index | 94.71 | 80 |
| Adjusted index | 85.44 | 59.36 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.