06.12.2025 17:00
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Home Win
13.9%
Draw
21.4%
Away Win
64.7%
| Best Bet: | Away Win |
| Odds: | 1.67 |
| Estimated Probability: | 64.71% |
| Implied Probability: | 59.88% |
| Expected Value: | 1.081 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Fenerbahce holds a clear quality edge over Istanbul Basaksehir, reflected in their stronger overall squad and better recent form. Despite Basaksehir's home momentum, their defensive struggles against Fenerbahce's potent attack could be decisive. The away side's pressing and offensive efficiency suggest they can exploit Basaksehir's vulnerabilities, especially given the modest home edge in this matchup.
- Fenerbahce's superior attacking threat against a leaky defense
- Basaksehir's recent mixed form at home
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Istanbul Basaksehir | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 2.01 |
| Shots on Target | 4.36 | 6.23 |
| Corners | 5.36 | 6 |
| Possession (%) | 56.57 | 59.23 |
| Efficiency index | 110.37 | 105.01 |
| Adjusted index | 112.79 | 156.14 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


