Home Win
13.9%
Draw
21.4%
Away Win
64.7%

Best Bet: Away Win
Odds: 1.67
Estimated Probability: 64.71%
Implied Probability: 59.88%
Expected Value: 1.081
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

Fenerbahce holds a clear quality edge over Istanbul Basaksehir, reflected in their stronger overall squad and better recent form. Despite Basaksehir's home momentum, their defensive struggles against Fenerbahce's potent attack could be decisive. The away side's pressing and offensive efficiency suggest they can exploit Basaksehir's vulnerabilities, especially given the modest home edge in this matchup.

  • Fenerbahce's superior attacking threat against a leaky defense
  • Basaksehir's recent mixed form at home
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Istanbul Basaksehir Fenerbahce
Goals Scored 1.57 2.15
Goals Conceded 1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.01
Shots on Target 4.36 6.23
Corners 5.36 6
Possession (%) 56.57 59.23
Efficiency index 110.37 105.01
Adjusted index 112.79 156.14
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.