29.11.2025 17:00
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Home Win
22.7%
Draw
25.7%
Away Win
51.6%
| Best Bet: | Away Win |
| Odds: | 2.27 |
| Estimated Probability: | 51.57% |
| Implied Probability: | 44.05% |
| Expected Value: | 1.171 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Istanbul Basaksehir arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Kasimpasa's home comfort. The visitors' stronger attack against Kasimpasa's defense hints at moments of pressure, while the home side's defensive solidity could keep the game tight. Expect a balanced tempo with tactical discipline and a moderate goal count.
- Basaksehir's offensive edge challenges Kasimpasa's defense
- Home side's compact block may limit chances
- Recent form favors away momentum
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Kasimpasa | Istanbul Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.77 | 1.33 |
| Shots on Target | 2.47 | 4.36 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.36 |
| Possession (%) | 42.27 | 56.57 |
| Efficiency index | 107.6 | 110.37 |
| Adjusted index | 73.82 | 112.79 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.