Home Win
57.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away Win
18%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 2.05 |
| Estimated Probability: | 57.84% |
| Implied Probability: | 48.78% |
| Expected Value: | 1.186 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Alanyaspor holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a controlled game at GAİN Park Stadyumu. Both sides show similar recent form, but Alanyaspor's stronger defense could stifle Kasimpasa's attack, hinting at a tight contest with limited clear-cut chances.
- Home defensive solidity versus away offensive pressure
- Balanced recent form with slight home momentum
- Odds suggest a moderate pace and a lean towards fewer goals
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Alanyaspor | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Shots on Target | 3.8 | 2.73 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 5.27 |
| Possession (%) | 44.2 | 44.73 |
| Efficiency index | 98.02 | 109.03 |
| Adjusted index | 86.71 | 80.32 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.