Home Win
32%
Draw
25.6%
Away Win
42.3%
| Best Bet: | BTTS No |
| Odds: | 2.43 |
| Estimated Probability: | 46.25% |
| Implied Probability: | 41.15% |
| Expected Value: | 1.124 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
GO Ahead Eagles hold a clear quality edge and boast a stronger attack against Excelsior's defense, suggesting they can break down the home side's compact block. Excelsior's home momentum is tempered by recent mixed form and a defensive setup that may struggle against the visitors' pressing edge. The match hints at a moderate pace, with both sides showing resilience but limited goal output recently.
- Visitors' offensive strength vs home defense
- Home side's patchy recent form
- Balanced tempo favoring tactical discipline
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Excelsior | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| Shots on Target | 3.71 | 5.33 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 6.05 |
| Possession (%) | 45.76 | 50 |
| Efficiency index | 87.26 | 106.38 |
| Adjusted index | 68.03 | 93.7 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


