Home Win
32%
Draw
25.6%
Away Win
42.3%

Best Bet: BTTS No
Odds: 2.43
Estimated Probability: 46.25%
Implied Probability: 41.15%
Expected Value: 1.124
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

GO Ahead Eagles hold a clear quality edge and boast a stronger attack against Excelsior's defense, suggesting they can break down the home side's compact block. Excelsior's home momentum is tempered by recent mixed form and a defensive setup that may struggle against the visitors' pressing edge. The match hints at a moderate pace, with both sides showing resilience but limited goal output recently.

  • Visitors' offensive strength vs home defense
  • Home side's patchy recent form
  • Balanced tempo favoring tactical discipline

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Excelsior GO Ahead Eagles
Goals Scored 1 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.29
Shots on Target 3.71 5.33
Corners 4.1 6.05
Possession (%) 45.76 50
Efficiency index 87.26 106.38
Adjusted index 68.03 93.7
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.