Home Win
29.8%
Draw
24.9%
Away Win
45.3%
| Best Bet: | BTTS No |
| Odds: | 2.57 |
| Estimated Probability: | 47.77% |
| Implied Probability: | 38.91% |
| Expected Value: | 1.228 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Sparta Rotterdam enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. PEC Zwolle's defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, but their struggles in attack against a more potent Sparta defense hint at a low-scoring affair. The moderate pace implied by odds supports a compact, tactical battle rather than an open shootout.
- Sparta's superior overall strength and recent form advantage
- PEC Zwolle's defensive resilience vs Sparta's balanced offense
- Likely cautious tempo favoring a tight scoreline
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | PEC Zwolle | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.1 | 1.36 |
| Shots on Target | 3.38 | 4.67 |
| Corners | 3.38 | 4.52 |
| Possession (%) | 44.71 | 45.71 |
| Efficiency index | 113.51 | 95.37 |
| Adjusted index | 85.33 | 89.86 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


