Home Win
27.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away Win
45.8%
| Best Bet: | Away Win |
| Odds: | 2.43 |
| Estimated Probability: | 45.78% |
| Implied Probability: | 41.15% |
| Expected Value: | 1.112 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Udinese hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Fiorentina's sharper attack faces a resilient Udinese defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Home momentum is visible but tempered by Udinese's defensive solidity and Fiorentina's ability to press effectively. The odds hint at a balanced pace, likely producing a tight contest with few goals.
- Fiorentina's offensive edge against Udinese's defense
- Udinese's home defensive resilience
- Close recent form and moderate tempo expected
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Udinese | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.51 |
| Shots on Target | 3.54 | 3.73 |
| Corners | 4.54 | 4.69 |
| Possession (%) | 46.27 | 52.62 |
| Efficiency index | 103.71 | 90.14 |
| Adjusted index | 79.96 | 82.23 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


