Home Win
64.4%
Draw
24%
Away Win
11.6%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 1.75 |
| Estimated Probability: | 62.51% |
| Implied Probability: | 57.14% |
| Expected Value: | 1.094 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Lazio enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Their strong defensive setup should contain Lecce's moderate attack, while their own offensive threat is well above Lecce’s defensive capabilities. The home side's slightly better form and tactical discipline suggest a controlled game with limited chances for the visitors.
- Home defensive solidity vs away attack
- Superior overall quality and home advantage
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Lazio | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.02 | 0.74 |
| Shots on Target | 3.64 | 3.09 |
| Corners | 3 | 5.27 |
| Possession (%) | 49 | 45 |
| Efficiency index | 111.88 | 99.56 |
| Adjusted index | 97.09 | 67.87 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


