Home Win
57.6%
Draw
23.7%
Away Win
18.7%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 2.08 |
| Estimated Probability: | 55.55% |
| Implied Probability: | 48.08% |
| Expected Value: | 1.155 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
Sturm Graz holds a clear quality edge over Rapid Vienna, backed by stronger home form and a solid defensive setup. Their pressing and compact block at Merkur-Arena could stifle Rapid’s attack, which has struggled recently. The home side’s momentum and tactical discipline suggest a controlled game with limited chances.
- Home defensive resilience vs away offensive struggles
- Recent form favors Sturm Graz’s consistency
- Moderate pace expected, leaning to under 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Sturm Graz | Rapid Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.59 |
| Shots on Target | 4.58 | 3.61 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.42 |
| Possession (%) | 51.39 | 54.97 |
| Efficiency index | 102.03 | 97.73 |
| Adjusted index | 108.6 | 87.66 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.