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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Athletic Club

Match Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club April 25, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 19:00
3:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.51
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.97
Hit
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 53% · book 1.81
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
1.91 – 0.47
Δ +1.44
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid hold a clear quality edge over Athletic Club, boosted by a solid home defensive record that should challenge Athletic’s attack. Both sides share similar recent form, but Atletico’s home momentum and sharper offensive edge suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle with Atletico’s compact block and set-piece threat likely to be decisive.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
  • Similar recent form but home advantage favors Atletico
  • Moderate pace expected, balanced goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · BIL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ATM
58' Cardoso ↑ · Barrios
63' Gonzalez ↑ · Griezmann
63' Molina ↑ · Llorente
72' Vargas ↑ · Koke
72' Le Normand ↑ · Simeone
Subs used · BIL
63' Sancet ↑ · Gomez
63' Boiro ↑ · Berchiche
70' Berenguer ↑ · Williams
70' Navarro ↑ · Williams
70' Vesga ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta

📊 Statistics

ATM 32 BIL
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
6
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 3 – 2
23'
A. Paredes
Assist · I. Ruiz de Galarreta · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
A. Griezmann
1–1
49'
A. Sorloth
Assist · A. Baena · 2–1
54'
J. Cardoso ↓ · P. Barrios ↑
Substitution 1
58'
N. Gonzalez ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑
Substitution 2
63'
N. Molina ↓ · M. Llorente ↑
Substitution 3
63'
63'
O. Sancet ↓ · U. Gomez ↑
Substitution 1
63'
A. Boiro ↓ · Y. Berchiche ↑
Substitution 2
70'
A. Berenguer ↓ · I. Williams ↑
Substitution 3
70'
R. Navarro ↓ · N. Williams ↑
Substitution 4
70'
M. Vesga ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 5
O. Vargas ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 4
72'
R. Le Normand ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 5
72'
A. Sorloth
Assist · N. Molina · 3–1
90'
90'
G. Guruzeta
Assist · A. Rego · 3–2
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.51 53% Cashed +1.51 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 52% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.81 53% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 54% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.97 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.00 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.16 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 81% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.80 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 31% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 76% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.33 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.89u −11% ROI