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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Elche — Valencia

Match Elche vs Valencia April 11, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 14:15
1:0
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.50 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.83 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.00 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.59 – 2.33
Δ −1.74
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Elche holds a slight quality edge and benefits from home momentum, showing better recent form and a more compact defensive setup compared to Valencia. The home side's pressing and offensive balance could challenge Valencia's leaky defense, while the away team struggles to convert chances consistently. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, where Elche's home resilience and Valencia's counterattacks shape the contest.

  • Elche's defensive solidity vs Valencia's attack
  • Home form advantage and pressing intensity
  • Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ELC 3-4-1-2 · VAL 4-4-2
ELC · 3-4-1-2 4-4-2 · VAL 1 Dituro 42 Sangare 22 Affengruber 21 Pétrot 15 Morente 14 Febas 12 Villar 11 Valera 16 Neto 10 Mir 9 Silva 1 Dimitrievski 12 Correia 5 Tárrega 24 Cömert 14 Gayà 11 Rioja 2 Rodríguez 23 Ugrinić 17 Ramazani 15 Beltrán 6 Sadiq
Subs used · ELC
64' Donald ↑ · Sangare ↓
64' Rodriguez ↑ · Silva ↓
72' Pedrosa ↑ · Villar ↓
72' Cepeda ↑ · Neto ↓
82' Chust ↑ · Valera ↓
Subs used · VAL
60' Lopez ↑ · Rioja ↓
61' Duro ↑ · Sadiq ↓
75' Pepelu ↑ · Comert ↓
75' Vazquez ↑ · Gaya ↓
81' Danjuma ↑ · Beltran ↓

📊 Statistics

ELC 1 – 0 VAL
57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.33
8
Total Shots
22
2
Shots on Target
8
5
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
16
5
Corner Kicks
9
4
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
18
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
Buba Sangare
Yellow Card
▮
59'
60'
⇄
D. Lopez ↓ · L. Rioja ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
H. Duro ↓ · U. Sadiq ↑
Substitution 2
63'
▮
Guido Rodríguez
Yellow Card
J. Donald ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
A. Rodriguez ↓ · Andre Silva ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Villar ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
L. Cepeda ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
L. Cepeda
Assist · A. Febas · 1–0
⚽
73'
75'
⇄
Pepelu ↓ · E. Comert ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
J. Vazquez ↓ · J. Gaya ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
A. Danjuma ↓ · L. Beltran ↑
Substitution 5
V. Chust ↓ · G. Valera ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.50 — 44% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.83 — 55% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 — 50% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.14 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.82 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.77 — 44% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.22 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 — 70% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Away Win 3.15 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 — 30% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 — 76% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.71u −10% ROI