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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Alaves

Match Real Sociedad vs Alaves April 11, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 12:00
3:3
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee V. Garcia
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.82
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.89
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.93
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
0.94 – 1.13
Δ −0.19
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad enters this La Liga clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a solid recent run. Their offensive edge against Alaves' defense suggests they can control the game tempo, while their compact defensive block limits Alaves' attacking threat. Alaves' inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities away from home add to Real Sociedad's advantage.

  • Home side's pressing and tactical discipline likely to stifle Alaves
  • Real Sociedad's recent wins boost confidence and attacking fluidity
  • Alaves' defensive struggles may invite pressure and chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RSO 4-2-3-1 · ALA 5-3-2
Subs used · RSO
46' Guedes ↑ · Barrenetxea
54' Kubo ↑ · Mendez
72' Marin ↑ · Oskarsson
86' Beitia ↑ · Sucic
86' Munoz ↑ · Elustondo
Subs used · ALA
60' Boye ↑ · Diabate
66' Alena ↑ · Guridi
66' Guevara ↑ · Ibanez
86' Suarez ↑ · Perez

📊 Statistics

RSO 33 ALA
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.94
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.13
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
8
9
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
18
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

22 · 3 – 3
-5'
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
Yellow Card
3'
D. Caleta-Car
Own goal · 0–1
L. Sucic
Assist · A. Barrenetxea · 1–1
14'
24'
I. Diabate
1–2
A. Sivera
Own goal · 2–2
27'
Half-time · 2 – 2
G. Guedes ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 1
46'
T. Kubo ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 2
54'
59'
Abderrahman Rebbach
Yellow Card
60'
L. Boye ↓ · I. Diabate ↑
Substitution 1
O. Oskarsson
Assist · T. Kubo · 3–2
60'
Takefusa Kubo
Yellow Card
64'
66'
Ángel Pérez
Yellow Card
66'
C. Alena ↓ · J. Guridi ↑
Substitution 2
66'
A. Guevara ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 3
P. Marin ↓ · O. Oskarsson ↑
Substitution 3
72'
L. Beitia ↓ · L. Sucic ↑
Substitution 4
86'
A. Munoz ↓ · A. Elustondo ↑
Substitution 5
86'
86'
D. Suarez ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 4
90'
L. Boye
Assist · D. Suarez · 3–3
Sergio Gómez
Red Card
90+3'
Gonçalo Guedes
Yellow Card
90+9'
90+10'
Denis Suárez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.82 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.89 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 47% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 49% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.10 39% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.22 86% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.34 72% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.70 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Draw 3.80 24% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.10 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.63 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.21u +1% ROI