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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Sevilla — Atletico Madrid

Match Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid April 11, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.33
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.88
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.00
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.78 – 0.79
Δ +0.99
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, despite Sevilla's home advantage. The visitors' stronger offense faces a resilient Sevilla defense, suggesting a tactical battle where Atletico's pressing and counter-attack could be decisive. Sevilla's recent struggles at home hint at a tough night ahead, but their defensive solidity may keep the scoreline tight.

  • Atletico's offensive edge vs Sevilla's defense
  • Sevilla's home momentum under pressure
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning to a compact game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SEV 5-4-1 · ATM 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SEV
70' Sow ↑ · Bueno
70' Peque ↑ · Romero
78' Sanchez ↑ · Vargas
90+4' Suazo ↑ · Sanchez
90+4' Mendy ↑ · Adams
Subs used · ATM
71' Lookman ↑ · Belaid
71' Morcillo ↑ · Mendoza
86' Monserrate ↑ · Diaz

📊 Statistics

SEV 21 ATM
32%
Possession (%)
68%
1.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.79
11
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
12
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
4
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

19 · 2 – 1
-5'
Antoine Griezmann
Yellow Card
A. Adams (P)
Penalty · 1–0
10'
35'
J. Bonar
Assist · J. Diaz · 1–1
Manu Bueno
Yellow Card
36'
44'
Julio Díaz
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj
Assist · R. Vargas · 2–1
45'
Half-time · 2 – 1
Juanlu Sánchez
Yellow Card
67'
D. Sow ↓ · M. Bueno ↑
Substitution 1
70'
Peque ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 2
70'
71'
A. Lookman ↓ · R. Belaid ↑
Substitution 1
71'
J. Morcillo ↓ · R. Mendoza ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Alejandro Baena
Yellow Card
A. Sanchez ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 3
78'
86'
J. Monserrate ↓ · J. Diaz ↑
Substitution 3
Nemanja Gudelj
Yellow Card
88'
G. Suazo ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
B. Mendy ↓ · A. Adams ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
90+5'
Javi Morcillo
Yellow Card
Peque Fernández
Yellow Card
90+6'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.33 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.88 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.22 43% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 48% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.68 49% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.52 20% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.33 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 77% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Draw 3.20 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.58 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.34 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 69% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.68 20% Cashed +2.68 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.16u −7% ROI