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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Mallorca — Real Madrid

Match Mallorca vs Real Madrid April 4, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Mallorca
Mallorca
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 14:15
2:1
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca Referee José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.63
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.73
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.68
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.22 – 1.27
Δ −0.05
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid arrive with clear momentum, boasting a flawless recent run contrasting Mallorca's patchy form. Their offensive firepower faces a sturdy Mallorca defense, but the quality gap heavily favors the visitors. Mallorca's home edge is limited, suggesting Real Madrid's pressing and tactical discipline could dominate.

  • Real Madrid's high attacking index challenges Mallorca's defense.
  • Mallorca's recent form shows inconsistency versus Madrid's winning streak.
  • The pace hints at a moderately open game with goal potential.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MAL 4-3-1-2 · REA 4-4-2
Subs used · MAL
70' Joseph ↑ · Morlanes
70' Lopez ↑ · Costa
70' Virgili ↑ · Torre
81' Sanchez ↑ · Luvumbo
Subs used · REA
59' Militao ↑ · Huijsen
59' Junior ↑ · A. Moran
59' Bellingham ↑ · Camavinga
72' Pitarch ↑ · Guler
76' Mastantuono ↑ · Diaz

📊 Statistics

MAL 21 REA
36%
Possession (%)
64%
1.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
6
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
13
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
5
16
Fouls
13
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Zito Luvumbo
Yellow Card
-5'
M. Morlanes
Assist · P. Maffeo · 1–0
41'
Half-time · 1 – 0
47'
Dean Huijsen
Yellow Card
59'
Eder Militao ↓ · D. Huijsen ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Vinicius Junior ↓ · M. A. Moran ↑
Substitution 2
59'
J. Bellingham ↓ · E. Camavinga ↑
Substitution 3
Leo Román
Yellow Card
66'
M. Joseph ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑
Substitution 1
70'
D. Lopez ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 2
70'
J. Virgili ↓ · P. Torre ↑
Substitution 3
70'
72'
T. Pitarch ↓ · A. Guler ↑
Substitution 4
76'
F. Mastantuono ↓ · B. Diaz ↑
Substitution 5
A. Sanchez ↓ · Z. Luvumbo ↑
Substitution 4
81'
Martin Valjent
Yellow Card
84'
88'
Eder Militao
Assist · T. Alexander-Arnold · 1–1
90'
Franco Mastantuono
Yellow Card
V. Muriqi
Assist · M. Joseph · 2–1
90'
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.63 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 61% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.68 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 56% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 2.12 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.28 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.43 34% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.18 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 61% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.24 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 82% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.48 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.75 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.00 12% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
AH Home 0 4.42 12% Cashed +3.42 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +3.12u +18% ROI