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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Elche

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Elche April 3, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Fri 03 Apr · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 2.10
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.92
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.35 – 0.44
Δ +0.91
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rayo Vallecano hosts Elche in a La Liga clash where the visitors show a quality edge, but the home side’s recent form and home momentum could balance the scales. Rayo’s compact defense faces a probing Elche attack, yet the home side’s ability to control pace and press high may disrupt the visitors’ rhythm. Expect a tactical battle with modest scoring, as both teams have shown resilience but limited finishing in recent matches.

  • Rayo’s home defensive solidity versus Elche’s attacking intent
  • Recent form favors Rayo’s consistency
  • Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RAY 4-3-3 · ELC 3-4-3
Subs used · RAY
66' Diaz ↑ · Palazon
66' Nteka ↑ · Valentin
83' Camello ↑ · Alemao
84' Pacha ↑ · Garcia
90+3' Martin ↑ · de Frutos
Subs used · ELC
46' Pedrosa ↑ · Mir
77' Silva ↑ · Rodriguez
77' Redondo Solari ↑ · Aguado
77' Villar ↑ · Febas
83' Santiago ↑ · Sangare

📊 Statistics

RAY 10 ELC
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
21
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
6
9
Corner Kicks
4
17
Fouls
9
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
0
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 1 – 0
22'
Pedro Bigas
Yellow Card
39'
Pedro Bigas
Yellow Card
39'
Pedro Bigas
Red Card
45'
Rafa Mir
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · R. Mir ↑
Substitution 1
63'
Álvaro Rodriguez
Yellow Card
P. Diaz ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 1
66'
R. Nteka ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 2
66'
R. Nteka
Assist · A. Garcia · 1–0
74'
77'
Andre Silva ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 2
77'
F. Redondo Solari ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 3
77'
G. Villar ↓ · A. Febas ↑
Substitution 4
S. Camello ↓ · Alemao ↑
Substitution 3
83'
83'
Y. Santiago ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑
Substitution 5
Pacha ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
84'
C. Martin ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.10 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.89 56% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 1.92 53% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.82 47% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Away Win 5.02 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 30% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.21 72% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 77% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.69 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.76 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.90 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.35 47% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.91u −17% ROI