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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Alaves — Villarreal

Match Alaves vs Villarreal March 13, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Mar · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.10
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.00
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 1.95
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.21 – 0.54
Δ −0.33
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal holds a clear quality edge over Alaves, reflected in their superior overall strength and offensive capabilities. Despite Alaves' slight home momentum, Villarreal's sharper attack against a leaky home defense suggests they can break through. The recent form favors Villarreal, who have been more consistent, while Alaves' defensive frailties could be exposed. Expect a tactical battle with Villarreal pressing high and Alaves relying on counter-attacks.

  • Villarreal's attacking edge versus Alaves' defense
  • Home side's modest form but defensive vulnerability
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALA 3-5-2 · VIL 4-4-2
Subs used · ALA
75' Guridi ↑ · Alena
80' Koski ↑ · Yusi
90+1' Ballestero ↑ · Tenaglia
90+1' Rebbach ↑ · Martinez
Subs used · VIL
59' Moreno ↑ · Buchanan
59' Moleiro ↑ · Cardona
67' Partey ↑ · Gueye
83' Freeman ↑ · Mourino
83' Oluwaseyi ↑ · Mikautadze

📊 Statistics

ALA 11 VIL
48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.21
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
8
Total Shots
10
0
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
5
2
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
19
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
4
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Lucas Boyé
Yellow Card
36'
R. Marin
Own goal · 1–0
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
Yellow Card
50'
58'
Sergi Cardona
Yellow Card
59'
G. Moreno ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑
Substitution 1
59'
A. Moleiro ↓ · S. Cardona ↑
Substitution 2
67'
T. Partey ↓ · P. Gueye ↑
Substitution 3
J. Guridi ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 1
75'
V. Koski ↓ · Yusi ↑
Substitution 2
80'
83'
A. Freeman ↓ · S. Mourino ↑
Substitution 4
83'
T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · G. Mikautadze ↑
Substitution 5
Antonio Sivera
Yellow Card
90'
90'
N. Pepe
Assist · S. Comesana · 1–1
C. Ballestero ↓ · N. Tenaglia ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
A. Rebbach ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Antonio Blanco
Yellow Card
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.10 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.00 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.70 46% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.42 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.28 80% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.52 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.50 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.23u −19% ROI