P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Getafe

Match Atletico Madrid vs Getafe March 14, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 15:15
1:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
L D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 67% · book 1.62
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.55
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 38% · book 2.64
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.49 – 1.21
Δ +0.28
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a clear quality edge over Getafe. Their defensive solidity combined with a potent attack against Getafe's leaky defense suggests a controlled game with limited away chances. The home side's pressing edge and superior form hint at a likely comfortable win, though the under 2.5 goals market looks appealing given the compact block Getafe tends to deploy.

  • Atletico's robust defense vs Getafe's modest attack
  • Home momentum and form superiority
  • Likely tactical caution from Getafe limiting goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 3-5-1-1 · GET 5-3-2
Subs used · ATM
66' Lookman ↑ · Almada
66' Simeone ↑ · Pubill
66' Alvarez ↑ · Sorloth
73' Llorente ↑ · Vargas
73' Griezmann ↑ · Baena
Subs used · GET
46' Birmancevic ↑ · Femenia
74' Martin ↑ · Arambarri
74' Liso ↑ · Vazquez
83' Rico ↑ · Duarte
90+2' Munoz ↑ · Milla

📊 Statistics

ATM 10 GET
66%
Possession (%)
34%
1.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.21
16
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
10
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 1 – 0
N. Molina
1–0
8'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
V. Birmancevic ↓ · Kiko Femenia ↑
Substitution 1
Alexander Sørloth
Yellow Card
55'
55'
Abdelkabir Abqar
Red Card
60'
Zaid Romero
Yellow Card
A. Lookman ↓ · T. Almada ↑
Substitution 1
66'
G. Simeone ↓ · M. Pubill ↑
Substitution 2
66'
J. Alvarez ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 3
66'
Obed Vargas
Yellow Card
68'
M. Llorente ↓ · O. Vargas ↑
Substitution 4
73'
A. Griezmann ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 5
73'
74'
M. Martin ↓ · M. Arambarri ↑
Substitution 2
74'
A. Liso ↓ · L. Vazquez ↑
Substitution 3
77'
Adrian Liso
Yellow Card
83'
D. Rico ↓ · D. Duarte ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
Javier Munoz ↓ · L. Milla ↑
Substitution 5
Nahuel Molina
Yellow Card
90+8'
90+10'
Martín Satriano
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.62 67% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.55 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.64 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.61 60% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.70 34% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.55 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.51 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.53 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 67% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.10 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 89% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.21 80% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Draw 3.90 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.91 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.94u −29% ROI