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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Valencia — Alaves

Match Valencia vs Alaves March 8, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 20:00
3:2
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia Referee Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 55% · book 2.14
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.79
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.64
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.79 – 1.33
Δ +1.46
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Valencia holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Alaves, who struggle for consistency. Valencia’s attacking threat faces a resilient but slightly vulnerable Alaves defense, suggesting chances for the hosts. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive in a match leaning towards a controlled tempo, given the moderate goal expectations.

  • Valencia’s home edge offers tactical control
  • Alaves’ defense tested by Valencia’s offense
  • Moderate pace hints at a balanced but home-favored contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VAL 4-2-3-1 · ALA 4-4-2
Subs used · VAL
70' Danjuma ↑ · Rioja
74' Duro ↑ · Ugrinic
82' Raba ↑ · Rendall
82' Lopez ↑ · Ramazani
82' Almeida ↑ · Guerra
Subs used · ALA
30' Yusi ↑ · Protesoni
68' Suarez ↑ · Guridi
68' Guevara ↑ · Alena
84' Diaz ↑ · Martinez

📊 Statistics

VAL 32 ALA
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
19
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
17
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
6
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

23 · 3 – 2
3'
L. Boye (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Largie Ramazani
Yellow Card
17'
30'
Yusi ↓ · C. Protesoni ↑
Substitution 1
36'
Jon Guridi
Yellow Card
43'
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Guerra
Assist · U. Sadiq · 1–1
47'
58'
Jon Pacheco
Yellow Card
68'
D. Suarez ↓ · J. Guridi ↑
Substitution 2
68'
A. Guevara ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 3
A. Danjuma ↓ · L. Rioja ↑
Substitution 1
70'
71'
L. Boye
Assist · D. Suarez · 1–2
H. Duro ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑
Substitution 2
74'
D. Raba ↓ · T. Rendall ↑
Substitution 3
82'
D. Lopez ↓ · L. Ramazani ↑
Substitution 4
82'
A. Almeida ↓ · J. Guerra ↑
Substitution 5
82'
84'
M. Diaz ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
E. Comert
2–2
90'
H. Duro (P)
Penalty · 3–2
90'
90+2'
Ander Guevara
Yellow Card
90+6'
Ander Guevara
Yellow Card
90+6'
Ander Guevara
Red Card
90+7'
Jon Pacheco
Yellow Card
90+7'
Jon Pacheco
Red Card
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.14 55% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
BTTS No 1.79 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.64 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.47 40% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.79 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.12 44% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.80 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 82% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.50 65% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.50 55% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 89% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.75 20% Cashed +3.75 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.25 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.91 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.17 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.14u −1% ROI