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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club February 28, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee V. Garcia
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.93 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 1.96 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.33 – 0.54
Δ +0.79
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rayo Vallecano face a tough test against Athletic Club, who hold a clear quality edge and recent winning form. Despite Rayo's home momentum, their defensive frailty contrasts with Athletic's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Athletic's pressing and offensive threat could dominate. The match hints at a moderate pace with chances for both sides, but Athletic's consistency and higher adjusted strength give them a slight upper hand.

  • Home side's defensive struggles vs Athletic's effective offense
  • Athletic's recent winning streak vs Rayo's patchy form
  • Moderate tempo expected, balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · BIL 4-2-3-1
RAY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BIL 13 Batalla 2 Rațiu 24 Lejeune 32 Mendy 22 Espino 6 Ciss 15 Gumbau 12 Akhomach 7 Palazón 18 García 19 Frutos ⚽ 1 Simón 12 Areso 3 Vivian 14 Laporte 17 Berchiche 18 Jauregizar 16 Galarreta 9 Williams ⚽ 8 Sancet 20 Gómez 11 Guruzeta
Subs used · RAY
61' Lopez ↑ · Gumbau ↓
61' Perez ↑ · Garcia ↓
61' Valentin ↑ · Mendy ↓
69' Diaz ↑ · Palazon ↓
86' Alemao ↑ · Akhomach ↓
Subs used · BIL
46' Berenguer ↑ · Gomez ↓
59' Rego ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta ↓
73' Gorosabel ↑ · Areso ↓
86' Vesga ↑ · Jauregizar ↓
86' Sanchez ↑ · Sancet ↓

📊 Statistics

RAY 1 – 1 BIL
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.54
15
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
17
66%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 1
J. de Frutos
1–0
⚽
35'
39'
▮
Mikel Jauregizar
Yellow Card
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
▮
40'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Berenguer ↓ · U. Gomez ↑
Substitution 1
47'
⚽
I. Williams
Assist · A. Berenguer · 1–1
59'
⇄
A. Rego ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 2
U. Lopez ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
F. Perez ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
O. Valentin ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
65'
▮
Oihan Sancet
Yellow Card
P. Diaz ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
69'
71'
▮
Daniel Vivian
Yellow Card
73'
⇄
A. Gorosabel ↓ · J. Areso ↑
Substitution 3
Ilias Akhomach
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Alemao ↓ · I. Akhomach ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
86'
⇄
M. Vesga ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
S. Sanchez ↓ · O. Sancet ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.38 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.96 — 49% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.68 — 57% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.25 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.53 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.59 — 68% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Away Win 3.26 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.45 — 69% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.18 — 29% Cashed +2.18 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.39 — 61% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.35 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 — 77% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.41u −20% ROI