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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Oviedo

Match Real Sociedad vs Oviedo February 21, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 13:00
3:3
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee J. Munuera
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.93
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.77
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.13
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
2.00 – 1.68
Δ +0.32
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.93 — +8.5% better than the market.

Real Sociedad holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record and a recent run of wins. Their offensive strength should challenge Oviedo’s less robust defense, while Oviedo’s struggles on the road and patchy form suggest a tough outing. Expect a controlled pace with Real Sociedad’s compact block limiting chances and likely keeping the scoreline modest.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
  • Recent form favors Real Sociedad’s confidence
  • Moderate tempo hints at fewer high-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.93 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

RSO 4-2-3-1 · OVI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RSO
46' Herrera ↑ · Turrientes
53' Oskarsson ↑ · Marin
53' Odriozola ↑ · Aramburu
56' Elustondo
77' Zakharyan ↑ · Gorrotxategi
Subs used · OVI
76' Cazorla ↑ · Reina
76' Fernandez ↑ · Hassan
76' Dendoncker ↑ · Sibo
84' Borbas ↑ · Vinas
90+2' Fores ↑ · Fonseca

📊 Statistics

RSO 33 OVI
62%
Possession (%)
38%
2.00
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.68
15
Total Shots
14
8
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
11
7
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
16
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 3 – 3
Sergio Gómez
Yellow Card
32'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Y. Herrera ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 1
46'
50'
F. Vinas
Assist · H. Hassan · 0–1
52'
F. Vinas
0–2
O. Oskarsson ↓ · P. Marin ↑
Substitution 2
53'
A. Odriozola ↓ · J. Aramburu ↑
Substitution 3
53'
A. Elustondo ↓ ·
Substitution 4
56'
O. Oskarsson
Assist · S. Gomez · 1–2
64'
70'
Kwasi Sibo
Yellow Card
76'
S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 1
76'
T. Fernandez ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 2
76'
L. Dendoncker ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 3
A. Zakharyan ↓ · J. Gorrotxategi ↑
Substitution 5
77'
Brais Méndez
Yellow Card
81'
84'
T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 4
D. Caleta-Car
2–2
87'
O. Oskarsson
Assist · G. Guedes · 3–2
90'
90'
E. Bailly
Assist · S. Cazorla · 3–3
90+2'
A. Fores ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.93 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.77 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.13 43% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.02 44% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.68 32% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
Home Win 1.56 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.70 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.15 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.00 23% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 70% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 23% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Away Win 8.14 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.13 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.84u +5% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
RSO – OVI @ 1.93
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →