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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Villarreal — Valencia

Match Villarreal vs Valencia February 22, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.77
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.11
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.06
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.06 – 1.55
Δ +0.51
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal hold a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a strong attacking output against a less resilient Valencia defense. Their compact block and pressing edge at Estadio de la Ceramica should limit Valencia’s chances, who struggle to maintain consistency away.

  • Home side’s offensive firepower outmatches away defense
  • Valencia’s defensive vulnerabilities likely exposed
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Expect a controlled game with Villarreal pressing for dominance, while Valencia may look to counter but face an uphill battle to score.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · VAL 3-4-2-1
Subs used · VIL
58' Partey ↑ · Gueye
70' Buchanan ↑ · Perez
70' Pedraza ↑ · Moleiro
83' Parejo ↑ · Comesana
83' Gonzalez ↑ · Pepe
Subs used · VAL
70' Danjuma ↑ · Ugrinic
70' Rendall ↑ · Nunez
78' Duro ↑ · Rioja
78' Vazquez ↑ · Gaya
88' Almeida ↑ · Rodriguez

📊 Statistics

VIL 21 VAL
43%
Possession (%)
57%
2.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.55
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
16
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 2 – 1
Georges Mikautadze
Yellow Card
23'
27'
L. Ramazani (P)
Penalty · 0–1
S. Comesana
1–1
31'
38'
Largie Ramazani
Yellow Card
Santiago Mouriño
Yellow Card
45'
P. Gueye (P)
Penalty · 2–1
45'
45+3'
Javier Guerra
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 1
T. Partey ↓ · P. Gueye ↑
Substitution 1
58'
65'
Unai Núñez
Yellow Card
T. Buchanan ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 2
70'
A. Pedraza ↓ · A. Moleiro ↑
Substitution 3
70'
70'
A. Danjuma ↓ · F. Ugrinic ↑
Substitution 1
70'
T. Rendall ↓ · U. Nunez ↑
Substitution 2
78'
H. Duro ↓ · L. Rioja ↑
Substitution 3
78'
J. Vazquez ↓ · J. Gaya ↑
Substitution 4
D. Parejo ↓ · S. Comesana ↑
Substitution 4
83'
A. Gonzalez ↓ · N. Pepe ↑
Substitution 5
83'
88'
A. Almeida ↓ · G. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Umar Sadiq
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.77 62% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.11 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 52% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.81 51% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.22 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 70% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 62% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.12 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.70 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.27u −31% ROI