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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Real Sociedad

Match Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad February 14, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.22
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.76
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.77
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
3.10 – 1.67
Δ +1.43
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at the Santiago Bernabéu, where their attacking prowess outmatches Real Sociedad's defensive setup. The hosts' compact block and high pressing could exploit Sociedad's moderate defensive resilience. Both sides show strong recent form, but Madrid's superior firepower and home comfort suggest a likely control of the game's tempo and chances.

  • Madrid's offensive edge against Sociedad's defense
  • Home advantage with a pressing and compact style
  • Recent form favors Madrid's consistent scoring

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

REA 4-4-2 · RSO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · REA
60' Carvajal ↑ · Alexander-Arnold
60' Alaba ↑ · Rudiger
73' Ceballos ↑ · Camavinga
73' Diaz ↑ · Valverde
79' Cestero Sancho ↑ · Tchouameni
Subs used · RSO
46' Guedes ↑ · Wesley
60' Turrientes ↑ · Herrera
60' Oskarsson ↑ · Oyarzabal
73' Diaz ↑ · Marin

📊 Statistics

REA 41 RSO
52%
Possession (%)
48%
3.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
9
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

16 · 4 – 1
G. Garcia
Assist · T. Alexander-Arnold · 1–0
5'
Dean Huijsen
Yellow Card
20'
21'
M. Oyarzabal (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Vinicius Junior (P)
Penalty · 2–1
25'
F. Valverde
Assist · A. Carreras · 3–1
31'
Half-time · 3 – 1
46'
G. Guedes ↓ · Wesley ↑
Substitution 1
Vinicius Junior (P)
Penalty · 4–1
48'
D. Carvajal ↓ · T. Alexander-Arnold ↑
Substitution 1
60'
D. Alaba ↓ · A. Rudiger ↑
Substitution 2
60'
60'
B. Turrientes ↓ · Y. Herrera ↑
Substitution 2
60'
O. Oskarsson ↓ · M. Oyarzabal ↑
Substitution 3
D. Ceballos ↓ · E. Camavinga ↑
Substitution 3
73'
B. Diaz ↓ · F. Valverde ↑
Substitution 4
73'
73'
D. Diaz ↓ · P. Marin ↑
Substitution 4
J. Cestero Sancho ↓ · A. Tchouameni ↑
Substitution 5
79'
90+2'
Beñat Turrientes
Yellow Card
Full-time · 4 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.22 47% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 58% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.77 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.80 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 91% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.47 68% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.14 73% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 5.70 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.15 86% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.43 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.10 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.75 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.72u −34% ROI