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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Oviedo

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Oviedo March 4, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.87
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.75
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.78
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.45 – 0.99
Δ +1.46
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rayo Vallecano hold a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their stronger attack faces a less robust Oviedo defense, suggesting chances to break through. Oviedo’s recent resilience and compact block could limit goals, aligning with the market’s lean towards a modest scoring game. Expect a tactical battle where Rayo’s pressing edge and home familiarity may tip the scales.

  • Home side’s offensive edge vs away defense
  • Oviedo’s compact defensive setup
  • Moderate pace hinted by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · OVI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RAY
65' Palazon ↑ · Diaz
65' Perez ↑ · de Frutos
69' Trejo ↑ · Akhomach
88' Alemao ↑ · Garcia
88' Balliu ↑ · Ciss
Subs used · OVI
46' Cazorla ↑ · Sibo
46' Fernandez ↑ · Chaira
61' Ilic ↑ · Hassan
61' Fonseca ↑ · Colombatto
74' Borbas ↑ · Vinas

📊 Statistics

RAY 30 OVI
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.99
19
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
5
12
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
35'
Kwasi Sibo
Yellow Card
J. de Frutos
1–0
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
S. Cazorla ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
T. Fernandez ↓ · I. Chaira ↑
Substitution 2
J. de Frutos (P)
Penalty · 2–0
50'
53'
Alberto Reina
Yellow Card
61'
L. Ilic ↓ · H. Hassan ↑
Substitution 3
61'
N. Fonseca ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 4
A. Garcia
3–0
62'
Pedro Díaz
Yellow Card
64'
I. Palazon ↓ · P. Diaz ↑
Substitution 1
65'
F. Perez ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑
Substitution 2
65'
O. Trejo ↓ · I. Akhomach ↑
Substitution 3
69'
74'
T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 5
Alemao ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
88'
I. Balliu ↓ · P. Ciss ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.87 60% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.75 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.78 58% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.12 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.28 38% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.04 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 65% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.34 60% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 81% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.60 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.35 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.13 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.50 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.75u −28% ROI