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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Alaves

Match Atletico Madrid vs Alaves January 18, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 15:15
1:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.37 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.00 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.63 – 0.82
Δ +0.81
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Alaves' defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Alaves struggle for consistency and face a tough defensive test. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Alaves' vulnerabilities, suggesting a controlled game with moderate goal chances.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailty
  • Superior recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring Atletico's structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · ALA 4-1-4-1
ATM · 4-4-2 4-1-4-1 · ALA 13 Oblak 14 Llorente 18 Pubill 17 Hancko 3 Ruggeri 20 Simeone 8 Barrios 5 Cardoso 11 Almada 19 Alvarez 9 Sørloth ⚽ 1 Sivera 17 Otto 14 Tenaglia 5 Pacheco 24 Parada 8 Blanco 7 Vicente 19 Ibáñez 18 Guridi 10 Aleñá 11 Martínez
Subs used · ATM
62' Koke ↑ · Simeone ↓
62' Baena ↑ · Almada ↓
62' Griezmann ↑ · Alvarez ↓
78' Le Normand ↑ · Cardoso ↓
86' Molina ↑ · Sorloth ↓
Subs used · ALA
54' Suarez ↑ · Guridi ↓
55' Guevara ↑ · Ibanez ↓
55' Boye ↑ · Martinez ↓
69' Rebbach ↑ · Alena ↓
81' Manas ↑ · Blanco ↓

📊 Statistics

ATM 1 – 0 ALA
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
23
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
0
9
Shots off Target
6
16
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
5
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
6'
▮
Pablo Ibáñez
Yellow Card
Johnny Cardoso
Yellow Card
▮
27'
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Sorloth
Assist · P. Barrios · 1–0
⚽
48'
54'
⇄
D. Suarez ↓ · J. Guridi ↑
Substitution 1
55'
⇄
A. Guevara ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 2
55'
⇄
L. Boye ↓ · T. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
Koke ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
A. Baena ↓ · T. Almada ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
A. Griezmann ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
69'
⇄
A. Rebbach ↓ · C. Alena ↑
Substitution 4
R. Le Normand ↓ · J. Cardoso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
81'
⇄
A. Manas ↓ · A. Blanco ↑
Substitution 5
N. Molina ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.37 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.94 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 — 49% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 1.62 — 57% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 1.40 — 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 — 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.11 — 74% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Draw 5.30 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 71% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 — 25% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.70 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.38 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.55u −21% ROI