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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Real Madrid

Match Athletic Club vs Real Madrid December 3, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Wed 03 Dec · 18:00
0:3
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.81
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.89
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.71
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.87 – 2.04
Δ −1.17
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.81 — +14.1% better than the market.

Real Madrid enters this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack and overall squad strength. Despite Athletic Club's solid recent form and home momentum, Madrid's offensive firepower and pressing edge could challenge the hosts' compact block. The match hints at a lively pace, with both sides capable of goals, but Madrid's superior quality suggests they may control key moments.

  • Athletic's home resilience versus Madrid's high-caliber attack
  • Recent form favors Athletic but Madrid's quality gap is notable
  • Potential for open play and goal-scoring chances on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 55% +0.81u
+81%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BIL 4-1-4-1 · REA 4-3-3
Subs used · BIL
46' Areso ↑ · Lekue
46' Gomez ↑ · Ruiz de Galarreta
69' Vesga ↑ · Jauregizar
69' Serrano ↑ · Berenguer
78' Sanchez ↑ · Williams
Subs used · REA
55' Asencio ↑ · Alexander-Arnold
69' Guler ↑ · Camavinga
78' Rodrygo ↑ · Mbappe
78' Garcia ↑ · Militao
78' Diaz ↑ · Junior

📊 Statistics

BIL 03 REA
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.87
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.04
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
4
7
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
4
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
2
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 0 – 3
7'
K. Mbappe
Assist · T. Alexander-Arnold · 0–1
42'
E. Camavinga
Assist · K. Mbappe · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
J. Areso ↓ · I. Lekue ↑
Substitution 1
46'
U. Gomez ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑
Substitution 2
46'
55'
R. Asencio ↓ · T. Alexander-Arnold ↑
Substitution 1
59'
K. Mbappe
Assist · A. Carreras · 0–3
Álex Berenguer
Yellow Card
66'
M. Vesga ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 3
69'
N. Serrano ↓ · A. Berenguer ↑
Substitution 4
69'
69'
A. Guler ↓ · E. Camavinga ↑
Substitution 2
Alejandro Rego
Yellow Card
76'
S. Sanchez ↓ · N. Williams ↑
Substitution 5
78'
78'
Rodrygo ↓ · K. Mbappe ↑
Substitution 3
78'
G. Garcia ↓ · Eder Militao ↑
Substitution 4
78'
B. Diaz ↓ · Vinicius Junior ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.81 63% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Away Win 1.89 60% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.71 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 39% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.09 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.17 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.94 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.40 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.27 83% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 58% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.17 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.12 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.35 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.40 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.68u −28% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
BIL – REA @ 1.81
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →