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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Atletico Madrid

Match Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid January 4, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Juan Martinez Munuera, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 58% · book 2.00
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.89
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.97
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.79 – 1.23
Δ +0.56
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, despite playing away. Their offensive threat matches well against Real Sociedad's defense, suggesting potential for decisive moments. However, Sociedad's home momentum and compact defensive block could limit chances, making this a tactical battle. The odds hint at a moderate goal pace, so expect a measured tempo with Atletico pressing for control.

  • Atletico's superior quality and recent wins boost confidence.
  • Real Sociedad's home defense may frustrate visitors.
  • Moderate pace likely, balancing attack and defense.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RSO 4-4-2 · ATM 4-4-2
Subs used · RSO
72' Barrenetxea ↑ · Guedes
72' Marin ↑ · Turrientes
88' Oskarsson ↑ · Mendez
89' Zakharyan ↑ · Kubo
Subs used · ATM
46' Le Normand ↑ · Ruggeri
46' Gallagher ↑ · Barrios
60' Cardoso ↑ · Baena
60' Griezmann ↑ · Alvarez
72' Raspadori ↑ · Koke

📊 Statistics

RSO 11 ATM
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.23
18
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Gonçalo Guedes
Yellow Card
13'
44'
Matteo Ruggeri
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
R. Le Normand ↓ · M. Ruggeri ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Gallagher ↓ · P. Barrios ↑
Substitution 2
Duje Ćaleta-Car
Yellow Card
45+2'
50'
A. Sorloth
Assist · G. Simeone · 0–1
G. Guedes
Assist · T. Kubo · 1–1
55'
60'
J. Cardoso ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 3
60'
A. Griezmann ↓ · J. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 4
A. Barrenetxea ↓ · G. Guedes ↑
Substitution 1
72'
P. Marin ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 2
72'
72'
G. Raspadori ↓ · Koke ↑
Substitution 5
Mikel Oyarzabal
Yellow Card
75'
78'
Giacomo Raspadori
Yellow Card
O. Oskarsson ↓ · B. Mendez ↑
Substitution 3
88'
A. Zakharyan ↓ · T. Kubo ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.00 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.89 53% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 1.97 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.08 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.94 50% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.93 42% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.29 82% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.46 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.36 72% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.45 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 75% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.72 25% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.90 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.16 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.50u −15% ROI