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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Elche — Rayo Vallecano

Match Elche vs Rayo Vallecano December 21, 2025

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 17:30
4:0
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.56
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.44
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.86
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.40 – 0.93
Δ +1.47
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Elche holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, with a solid defensive setup likely to challenge Rayo Vallecano's attack. The home side's pressing and compact block could stifle Rayo’s less effective offense, while Elche's form suggests resilience despite some recent draws. Expect a cautious pace with limited goal-scoring chances given the defensive strengths and recent low-scoring trends.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack struggles
  • Elche’s better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ELC 3-5-2 · RAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ELC
12' Neto ↑ · Fort
80' Josan ↑ · Aguado
80' Santiago ↑ · Rodriguez
80' Petrot ↑ · Bigas
89' Boayar ↑ · Mir
Subs used · RAY
33' Perez ↑ · Balliu
60' Diaz ↑ · Valentin
75' Felipe ↑ · Mendy
75' Gumbau ↑ · Lopez
75' Vertrouwd ↑ · Pacha

📊 Statistics

ELC 40 RAY
47%
Possession (%)
53%
2.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
18
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Target
8
9
Shots off Target
6
16
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
3
8
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 4 – 0
H. Fort
Assist · A. Rodriguez · 1–0
6'
M. Neto ↓ · H. Fort ↑
Substitution 1
12'
22'
Nobel Mendy
Yellow Card
33'
F. Perez ↓ · I. Balliu ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
57'
Unai López
Yellow Card
60'
P. Diaz ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 2
A. Rodriguez
Assist · P. Bigas · 2–0
67'
G. Valera
Assist · A. Rodriguez · 3–0
70'
75'
Luiz Felipe ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
75'
G. Gumbau ↓ · U. Lopez ↑
Substitution 4
75'
J. Vertrouwd ↓ · Pacha ↑
Substitution 5
Aleix Febas
Yellow Card
79'
Josan ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 2
80'
Y. Santiago ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 3
80'
L. Petrot ↓ · P. Bigas ↑
Substitution 4
80'
82'
Florian Lejeune
Yellow Card
Josan
Yellow Card
84'
A. Boayar ↓ · R. Mir ↑
Substitution 5
89'
M. Neto
Assist · Josan · 4–0
90'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.56 48% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.44 41% Cashed +1.44 Cashed
BTTS No 1.86 53% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.66 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.01 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 48% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.26 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 77% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.47 67% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.88 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.19 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.58 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 89% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.50 21% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.27 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.13u +1% ROI