Match Alaves vs Real Madrid December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid holds a clear quality edge over Alaves, with superior attacking power likely to challenge Alaves' defense. Despite Alaves' better recent form, Real's offensive threat and experience on the road suggest they can control the game tempo. Alaves may rely on a compact block and counterattacks to disrupt Madrid's rhythm.

Madrid's strong attack faces a vulnerable home defense
Alaves' recent form shows resilience but limited firepower
Match pace hints at a moderately open game with goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ALA 4-1-4-1 · REA 4-4-2

ALA · 4-1-4-1 4-4-2 · REA

15 Boyé

Subs used · ALA

67'

Alena ↑ ·

Rebbach ↓

67'

Martinez ↑ ·

Ibanez ↓

67'

Vicente ↑ ·

Calebe ↓

83'

Guevara ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

89'

Yusi ↑ ·

Parada ↓

Subs used · REA

78'

Garcia ↑ ·

Guler ↓

78'

Huijsen ↑ ·

Valdepenas ↓

83'

Diaz ↑ ·

Rodrygo ↓

89'

Mastantuono ↑ ·

Junior ↓

📊 Statistics

ALA 1 – 2 REA

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

Abderrahman Rebbach

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

Victor Parada

Yellow Card

▮

24'

⚽

K. Mbappe

Assist · J. Bellingham · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

C. Alena ↓ · A. Rebbach ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

T. Martinez ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

C. Vicente ↓ · Calebe ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

67'

C. Vicente

Assist · A. Blanco · 1–1

⚽

68'

76'

⚽

Rodrygo

Assist · Vinicius Junior · 1–2

78'

⇄

G. Garcia ↓ · A. Guler ↑

Substitution 1

78'

⇄

D. Huijsen ↓ · V. Valdepenas ↑

Substitution 2

80'

▮

Vinícius Júnior

Yellow Card

A. Guevara ↓ · D. Suarez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

⇄

B. Diaz ↓ · Rodrygo ↑

Substitution 3

Yusi ↓ · V. Parada ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

⇄

F. Mastantuono ↓ · Vinicius Junior ↑

Substitution 4

Ander Guevara

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.67	—	65%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.81	—	59%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	55%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.07	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.17	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.39	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.91	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	88%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.23	—	65%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.20	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.01	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.54	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.56u	−33% ROI